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Statistical analyst Nate Silver says humility is key to making accurate predictions. Silver, who writes the New York Times' FiveThirtyEight blog, has just written a new book called The Signal and the Noise.

Is there a crisis of morale at the CIA? To some observers, news that an employee was fired last week for leaking classified information raises the question. Mary O. McCarthy was dismissed on Thursday, accused of leaking classified information about secret CIA prisons in Eastern Europe.

President Bush nominates Goldman Sachs Chairman Henry Paulson to be the new Treasury Secretary. He is to replace John Snow, whose resignation from the Cabinet will become official in June. Snow's departure had been widely expected.

The House committee investigating Jan. 6 says it has evidence showing that former President Trump broke the law by trying to overturn the 2020 election.

Pakistan Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif attended the inauguration of India's new prime minister this week. Does this signal a thaw? NPR's Scott Simon speaks with Shuja Nawaz of the Atlantic Council.

The U.S. economy continued to lose jobs in May, but at a slower pace than it has been, giving credence to the idea that the recession is nearing an end. Still, the unemployment rate climbed to 9.4 percent, and wage growth has slowed to a trickle.

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell signaled a rate cut in a key speech this morning. He was speaking at the annual Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium.

The GOP nominee is considering walking back a key campaign promise central to his support — whether 11 million immigrants in the U.S. illegally would be deported under a President Trump.

A decade and a half after TV stations shut down analog broadcasts and fully transitioned to digital, the industry is once again making major changes to the way stations transmit over-the-air signals.

The Fed boosted a key interest rate again — its seventh hike since 2015. The move, which was expected, will trigger higher rates on credit cards, home equity lines and other kinds of borrowing.